In recent days, international oil prices have plummeted as if sliding down a slippery slide, with one oil price even falling to levels seen three years ago.
It is important to understand that, for a long time, the price of oil has been a representation of the global economic situation. Now that international oil prices have plummeted, it inevitably signifies that there are significant movements in the international situation.
Moreover, considering the current context, many people believe that the United States is manipulating things behind the scenes. Why do they say this?
The sharp drop in international oil prices has led the United States to start "making small moves"?
Oil plays a very broad role, being required in various fields such as industry, and it can be said that today's society is fundamentally inseparable from its existence. Therefore, in a certain sense, it represents the national economy.
Moreover, the transaction amount of oil is quite large, and the fluctuations in oil prices can disrupt the entire economic production system. In the current tense international situation, the abnormal drop in international oil prices is hard not to make people suspect that someone is manipulating things behind the scenes.
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Based on existing conditions, it can be judged that the United States is likely behind this, after all, the data from the United States in August shows that the current inflation situation in the United States is not ideal. They originally wanted to start a rate-cutting cycle in advance, but the situation does not allow the United States to do so. But what if oil prices fall? A drop in oil prices is a good way to curb inflation, which is just what the United States wants.
The amount of U.S. debt is increasing, and the pressure is increasing day by day. They now want to alleviate economic pressure and have to choose to lower interest rates, but if the inflation situation is still very serious, they have to take certain measures.
The drop in oil prices is likely just their means, of course, they will not be so blatant.
On the surface, the decline in international oil prices is caused by various reasons and is a trend. For example, the situation in the Middle East is gradually stabilizing, and the crude oil market is overproducing, etc., but even with these reasons, everyone still attributes the biggest reason to the United States.As most people say, the United States, being a major power, how could they just sit idly by and hand over their interests to others? Therefore, they will still have many moves, and the decline in oil prices is just one of them.
Furthermore, if oil prices fall, it would be a significant blow to major oil-producing countries like Russia, which is already on the opposite side of the United States. The U.S. has been helping Ukraine to strike against them and has even used the dollar hegemony to severely impact Russia.
So, if oil prices drop significantly, it could further contribute to the collapse of Russia. Of course, it must be admitted that the sharp drop in international oil prices is indeed a very effective move; it has smoothly played a deterrent role, as seen in countries like Saudi Arabia.
In the matter of oil, what role does Saudi Arabia play?
If Russia is directly designated as an "opponent" by the United States, the relationship between Saudi Arabia and the U.S. is profound. For the sake of oil supply, the U.S. would not take excessive actions against Saudi Arabia.
Saudi Arabia and the U.S. have been cooperating in the oil sector, and the dollar's position would not be possible without the support of Saudi oil trade behind it.
However, recently, it seems that Saudi Arabia has new ideas. They visited China and publicly acknowledged the oil yuan, which undoubtedly gave the U.S. a strong sense of crisis.
In the past, Saudi Arabia and the U.S. conducted oil trade in dollars, and there were binding agreements between them. But now, Saudi Arabia also wants to de-dollarize, which would jeopardize the status of the dollar. At such a time, how could the U.S. not panic?
The current situation has a "when the wall falls, everyone pushes" dynamic, and the U.S. cannot just wait to be "carved up" obediently. Therefore, the U.S. has taken action on oil.
This is not only because they want to collapse Russia but also to warn Saudi Arabia to know their limits. Otherwise, even if Saudi Arabia has its own ideas, the U.S. has the capability to make them very uncomfortable.After all, the United States has always been like this: if I am not comfortable, you won't have a good life either.
Of course, some people believe that this is an agreement reached between the United States and Saudi Arabia, intending to bring down Russia together.
Because from the United States' previous actions, he will not care whether his allies will also suffer losses, as long as he can achieve his goal.
Saudi Arabia has been cooperating with the United States for many years and has a strong dependence on the United States. Maybe under the threat of the United States, he has no choice but to follow the United States' arrangements. In addition, the sharp drop in oil prices also has a significant impact on China.
Low oil prices are good for some related companies in China, after all, this means that the production costs of some companies will decrease, such as consumers buying fuel vehicles at a cheaper price.
Of course, due to China's better performance in the field of new energy electric vehicles, the decline in oil prices also has a certain impact on the sales of China's new energy electric vehicles.
In summary, the sharp drop in international oil prices this time has great benefits for the United States, but for other countries, there are advantages and disadvantages. When formulating response policies, we still need to be more cautious.